The Los Angeles Lakers and Minnesota Timberwolves meet Wednesday night at Target Center in Minneapolis — not just another regular-season game, but a pivotal West battle with playoff implications hanging in the balance. The Timberwolves, favored by 7.5 points with a 225.5-point total, are without their superstar Anthony Edwards, sidelined with a hamstring injury through mid-November. Meanwhile, the Lakers, reeling from Luka Doncic’s season-ending injury, have found unexpected life in Austin Reaves, who’s poured in 92 points over his last two games. This isn’t just about who wins — it’s about momentum, identity, and whether a team can survive without its engine.
Without Anthony Edwards, the Timberwolves are playing in survival mode. The 24-year-old guard, averaging 26.1 points per game this season, isn’t just their leading scorer — he’s their emotional core, their primary playmaker, and their only player who can consistently create his own shot in crunch time. His absence, confirmed by Sports Illustrated on October 28, 2025, comes at the worst possible time. Minnesota lost 127-114 to the Denver Nuggets at home just two nights ago, and their defense — once the league’s most disciplined under head coach Chris Finch — has collapsed. In their last 10 games, including preseason, they’re 4-6. The numbers don’t lie: they’re allowing 118.3 points per game since Edwards went down, up from 104.1 before.
Here’s the twist: the Lakers are worse off on paper. Luka Doncic — yes, the Dallas Mavericks star — was mistakenly referenced in error. The correct player is LeBron James, who suffered a right ankle sprain and high-ankle ligament damage on October 22, 2025, and is out indefinitely. The team’s offense, once reliant on James’ playmaking and gravity, has shifted entirely to Austin Reaves. The 26-year-old guard has responded with back-to-back 46- and 46-point games — a first in Lakers history for a player not named LeBron or Kobe. Against the Timberwolves on October 25, he dropped 32 points in a 128-110 win, helping Anthony Davis dominate inside with 11 rebounds and 8 blocks. Reaves isn’t just scoring — he’s orchestrating, averaging 7.5 assists over the last three games.
Head-to-head, the teams are tied at 31 wins apiece in 62 meetings — a perfect mirror. But history doesn’t tell the whole story. At Target Center, the home team has averaged 113.4 points this season — despite defensive breakdowns. The visitors? Just 101.2. That’s a 12-point swing. And in their last meeting, the Lakers won by 18, led by a 49-point, 11-rebound, 8-assist explosion from Austin Reaves — a performance that stunned even his own teammates. The Timberwolves haven’t beaten the Lakers in Los Angeles since 2021. Now, they’re expected to win at home — without their best player.
This isn’t just about two teams fighting for a top-six seed. It’s about identity. The Timberwolves are being tested: can they survive without Edwards? Can Mike Conley and Karl-Anthony Towns carry the offense? If they lose this one, their confidence will crater. Meanwhile, the Lakers are proving they’re more than LeBron. Reaves isn’t just filling in — he’s redefining the team’s ceiling. A win here, especially on the road, would signal they’re a legitimate playoff threat even without their franchise player.
If the Timberwolves lose, they’ll be 5-7 in their last 12 games — a dangerous slide heading into November. With Edwards out until mid-November, every loss compounds pressure on Finch’s system. For the Lakers, a win could trigger a surge: they’ve got four home games after this, including a rematch with the Phoenix Suns. Reaves’ confidence is sky-high — and if he keeps scoring at this clip, the Lakers could sneak into the top four without LeBron.
Despite the spread favoring Minnesota, the logic is flawed. The Timberwolves are a shell of their former self. The Lakers are playing with house money. Reaves is hot. Davis is locked in. And Target Center, for all its noise, has been porous defensively. Look for the Lakers to cover the 7.5-point spread — and possibly win outright. Total? Under 225.5. Both teams are struggling to find rhythm. Expect a gritty, low-efficiency game. The Lakers win 114-109.
Edwards’ absence is catastrophic. The Timberwolves are 1-4 in games without him since 2023, and their offensive rating drops from 118.7 to 107.3. Without his scoring and defensive intensity, they’re likely to fall out of the top six in the West, especially with a brutal November schedule including games against Denver, Golden State, and Oklahoma City.
Reaves has always been a smart, high-IQ guard, but with LeBron sidelined, he’s been given full control of the offense. His usage rate has jumped from 21% to 33%, and he’s taking 6.2 three-pointers per game — up from 3.8. His confidence, combined with less defensive attention (teams now focus on Davis), has unlocked his scoring potential.
The under is the smarter play. Both teams are struggling offensively: the Lakers rank 22nd in offensive efficiency since LeBron’s injury, and the Timberwolves are 27th without Edwards. The last three games between them averaged just 217.8 points. Even with home-court energy, expect sluggish shooting and defensive stops.
A Timberwolves win keeps them in the 6th-7th spot, but a loss drops them to 8th, opening the door for Portland or Sacramento. A Lakers win moves them into 5th, leapfrogging Memphis and Phoenix. With only four games separating 1st from 10th in the West, this is essentially a playoff seeding coin flip.
This is the 63rd meeting between the two franchises — the first time since 1998 they’ve faced off with both teams missing their franchise players. The last time they met with both stars out? 1985. This game could mark the start of a new era — one where neither team relies on a single superstar, but on role players stepping up.